Projected Tourney Teams

[Porter]

American East: Albany (NY) (Leads with a 13-3 Conf record), or Binghamton (12-4)
A-10: LOCK- George Washington; OUT- Xavier (83 RPI is is going up and it doesnt look good)
ACC: LOCK- Duke, NCST, NC, BC; BUBBLE- FSU (65 RPI Win vs Duke will help but, still needs help); OUT- Maryland (1-7 on the road.)
A-SUN: I think Belmont will win the ASUN Tourney
Big Easy: LOCK- UCONN, Nova, Pitt, Marquette, West Virginia, Georgetown, Syrcause, Cincinnati; BUBBLE- Seton Hall (43 RPI, 4-4 Road, 7-7 Conf)
Big 12: LOCK- Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas; OUT- Colorado (48 RPI, 4-6 Road, 8-7 Conf)
Big 10: LOCK- OSU, MSU, IOWA, ILL, WISC; BUBBLE- Michigan (26 RPI, 5-6 road); Indiana (44 RPI, 3-7 Road, 2-1 Neu)
Big Sky: I like Montana chances
Big South: Wintrop will win the conference tourney or their 73 RPI keeps them home
Big West: Its Pacific's to lose, they are 9-4 outside of home (8-4 on the road).
Colonial: IN- George Mason (24 RPI, 8-5 Road, 2-0 Neu) BUBBLE- UNC Wilmington (37 RPI, 7-6 road, 2-0 Neu) and Hofstra (38 RPI; 8-5 road, 2-0 Neu) will have to win the tourney
CUSA: LOCK- Memphis; BUBBLE- UAB (52 RPI, 7-4 Road, 1-0 Neu), Houston (54 RPI, 7-5 road)
Horizon: BUBBLE- Wis-Milwaukee (53 RPI, 8-6 road, needs to win tourney)
IVY: Penn will be in, up by 3 games.
Metro: Iona may have the #1 seed but i wont count out my pick Manhattan.
MAC: I like Akron winning the tourney and getting the auto bid
Mid-Con: My money is on Oral Roberts to win the tourney.
Mid East: Delware St will win
MVC: LOCK- NIOWA, MISS ST, WICH ST; BUBBLE- Creighton (32 RPI; 5-7 road), South Ill (42 RPI; 7-6 road, 1-1 neu); Bradley (43 RPI, 5-8 Road)
MWC: BUBBLE- AF (39 RPI, 23 Wins, 5-5 Road, 2-0 Neu)
Northeast: its Fairleigh Dickinsons to lose.
OVC: Murray St.
Pac 10: LOCK- UCLA, UW, AZ; BUBBLE- Cal (58 RPI, 5-3 Road, 11-5 conf)
Patriot: BUBBLE- Bucknell (40 RPI, 11-3 on the Road!)
SEC: LOCK- TENN, LSU, FLA, BAMA, BUBBLE- KU (41 RPI, 5-4 Road, 3-2 Neu), Ark (56 RPI, 1-5 Road, 3-2 Neu)
Southern: Georgia Southern wins the C-Tourney
Southland: Sam Houston St probably
Southwestern: They actually have a team in the top 150 in RPI this season. doesnt matter Southern is going to the Play-in game
Sun Belt: BUBBLE- West. Ky. (47 RPI, 7-4 Road, 1-0 Neu)
WCC: LOCK- Zaga
WAC: LOCK- Nevada; BUBBLE- Utah St (49 RPI, 7-5 Road)


now i wait for Wilt to destroy this projection.

[ATLien]

3 Big East teams in the Final 4, you heard it here first.

[Porter]

I think they might get 2, but 3 is a stretch.

[Witlon]

I don't have much to rip it with, Leeland. I do believe that 32-33, if I remember correctly, is the lowest RPI ever to not get in the tournament as an at large, I could be wrong though.

As for CUSA falling off the horse, WTF happened there? I mean, I know they lost Louisville, Charlotte and Cincy, but come on. As for the MVC, I could see them concievably getting 5 teams if it all falls right in the conference tourney, a major accomplishment for any mid major.

No love for La Tech on the bubble though?

[Porter]

I still think the committee will screw a team or 2 in the MVC and its a shame.

As for CUSA they only have 1 team in the RPI top 50, the MVC has 6 teams better than CUSA's #2 team. So i can justify my 1 Team from the CUSA.

LaTech has a 64 RPI, they are 6-7 away from home but they are 2-1 in a neutral site. Utah St has a better chance than that team.

The CUSA has UAB and Houston at 53 and 55, but they have nothing that pops out at your on the road (6-4 UAB, 7-4 Houston) when you match them up against say. Hofstra (8-5 Road, 20-5 Overall, 47 RPI) or Western Ky (20-5, 7-3 Road, 42 RPI) or even Buckenell whos 11-3 on the road.

[MarinersFan87]

Arkansas is as in as in gets now. Kentucky is on the bubble, they've got to win one more and then one in the SEC tourney to be assured of a bid IMO.

[Porter]

Arksansas still needs more i think, they got lucky in its win over a young team.

[nyjunc]

3 Big East teams in the Final 4, you heard it here first.

They'll be lucky to get 1. West Virginia will not make it past the first weekend- you had that here first and now w/ another potential crippling injury to 'Nova thye may have just seen their FF hopes go up in flames and there aren't any other BE teams that could even think of making a FF run.

[Kingdom]

The Big "Easy" eh.

[ATLien]

They'll be lucky to get 1. West Virginia will not make it past the first weekend- you had that here first and now w/ another potential crippling injury to 'Nova thye may have just seen their FF hopes go up in flames and there aren't any other BE teams that could even think of making a FF run.

Um, UConn? The most talented team in the country?

Ringing any bells?

[Kingdom]

The Hoyas could, I mean, if you can handle Duke, you really have a chance.

[MarinersFan87]

Arksansas still needs more i think, they got lucky in its win over a young team.

They've won 3 in a row against Florida, Bama, and Tennessee. Unless they drop both of their remaning games and don't get a win in the SEC tourney they are in.

[MarinersFan87]

Um, UConn? The most talented team in the country?

Ringing any bells?

I think he was making a case against both WV and Nova making the FF, so therefore leaving UConn as that one team.

[ATLien]

Villanova will make it. One of WVU and Georgetown, too.

[Kingdom]

We can't if we match up against a great inside team. Texas, LSU, and UConn bashed us up pretty good, and that's Aldridge-Davis-Boone/Armstrong. Syracuse did pretty swell too. I think Cincinnati ****ed up and didn't go to Hicks enough in the second half when we first played them.