Not moving Zito may be A's best move
By Tim Kawakami
Mercury News
Will Billy Beane trade Barry Zito, the last trace of the old aces, by Christmas?
You know that the A's hyperkinetic general manager is tempted to do it, because Beane loves leaping ahead of the curve and thinking of things that others dare not conceive.
But there's another daring thing Beane could do, and it's just cockeyed enough for Beane to contemplate:
Hold onto Zito, shoot for the short-term, and damn the free-agent torpedoes when Zito, due $8.5 million in 2006, hits the market next winter.
Hold onto Zito, and see if you can catch fire and pitch your way deep into October 2006. The White Sox did it, couldn't the A's?
Give A's fans a holiday gift this year, Billy: Just hold on, because holding on can be smart and creative, too.
Not because the teeny-boppers love Zito and he plays guitar on the radio and he's quirky. Hold on because he can pitch, and reliable pitching still is baseball's most precious ingredient.
I know, it's a lot to ask of Beane, who is preparing for next month's winter meetings and watching Jim Thome go to the Chicago White Sox, Carlos Delgado go to the New York Mets and Josh Beckett go to Boston.
Beane is pacing. He hates doing nothing and he craves doing everything. Which are the traits that have made him baseball's most fascinating, and best, executive for years.
And it's not difficult to find reasons to dangle Zito for a young, proven power hitter to join Eric Chavez, Bobby Crosby, Mark Kotsay, Nick Swisher & Co.:
• Zito, still only 27, is a great trade asset because he is left-handed, he bounced back from a bad 2004 with a sharp 2005, and he's supremely durable (his 174 starts in the past five seasons are tops in the majors).
If you're a pitching-starved team and you don't land A.J. Burnett, Kevin Millwood or Matt Morris, a deal for Zito could be enticing enough to offer a young, 30-homer stud.
• Beane proved he can land a mother lode last December when he received Danny Haren, Kiko Calero and prospect Daric Barton from St. Louis for Mark Mulder.
(Of course, Beane also proved he could whiff when he acquired Juan Cruz, Dan Meyer and Charles Thomas for Tim Hudson.)
• The A's need more hitting -- the 155 home runs and .407 slugging percentage were the franchise's worst totals since 1998.
It's a hugely unbalanced roster: As long as so much money goes to catcher Jason Kendall and Kendall produces so feebly (zero homers in 601 at-bats in 2005), there will be offensive questions.
• Even without Zito, the A's still have Rich Harden, Haren and Joe Blanton as rotation anchors, and possibly a healthy Meyer ready to join in by midseason.
But there is a counterpoint for all of those reasons to trade Zito: The A's are talented enough to win right now, and giving up Zito could harm that.
That is, if you believe Kotsay and Crosby will be healthy and that Swisher and Dan Johnson will blossom into consistent power hitters.
Isn't that (sort of) why Beane allowed Ken Macha to return as manager after Macha initially declined Beane's contract offer? Because keeping Macha probably ensures the best possible run in 2006?
This is the time to be fine with the risk of losing Zito for just draft picks next winter; back when the A's were winning 100 games a year, Beane didn't sweat losing Jason Giambi, Miguel Tejada, Johnny Damon and others.
Remember, Beane dealt Hudson and Mulder because he felt the A's overall talent level had dropped and he needed a fast replenishment.
So is there a need to dump Zito for, say, a speculated package from the Mets that could include Aaron Heilman and Lastings Milledge?
Probably not. There's enough talent on the A's roster and in their system to make it OK to stand still, for once.
Plus, wouldn't it be nice, Billy, to deliver a playoff team for new owners Lewis Wolff and John Fisher, who could bask in postseason revenue and October glory while they argue for a new stadium?
Wouldn't it be fun and daring to shock us again, Billy, by the trades you don't make and the roster shake-up that never happens?