It got tough for some fans to take 15 straight years of one of the worst franchises in sports. I can't get too upset at those who couldn't take it after a while.
Anyway, nice win today, although our offense could have done better. Palmer didn't have his best game and Rudi didn't run particularly well.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
yeah it was a good game for TJ. CJ was getting beat up the whole game..
anyone worried about Baltimore next week? I know the bengals defense will have a great time getting INT's from Wright but do you think Lewis will be healthy for the game? I think the D will be better and hopefully CJ will have a good game but Mccallister will likely be guarding him and he's really good so it shall be a good game.. Who Dey!
It could certainly be a pretty low scoring game. I expect it to be a close game. I'm not making a pick until I see all of the injury prognosis reports, etc.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
Hey gang, Wally has posted a quality article which you can find here. An article with the subject matter such as he wrote about you would expect that the Reds would likely make the worst of one of the lists (although I suppose that is more due to general pessimism than logical thinking in regards to this.) Either way, interesting stuff and well worth you taking the two seconds to hit the rep button for our friend Wally.
.: My Last.fm
I wanted to post this heads up now to my fellow Reds fans, as I'm very concerned about these ominous discussions coming from the National Weather Service about the potential of Severe Weather in the Ohio/Kentucky/Indiana area tomorrow evening/night. This could be very serious, as the wording and terminology is not usually this strong unless the threat is high, as NWS is a government owned corporation and can't mess around with this stuff.
This comes from the Louisville NWS discussion from earlier this morning:
...ACTIVE WX OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WX EVENT
POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTN/EVE...
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
MAJOR FOCUS IN THE LONG TERM WILL BE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD
WITH A POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LATEST SUITE OF 00Z MODEL DATA IS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT
TONIGHT. THE GFS SOLUTION HAS HAD GOOD RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY OVER
THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH BRINGING A VERY STRONG UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE DOWN OUT OF CANADA AND THEN SHUNTING THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES. ASSOCIATED SFC CYCLONE WILL THEN MOVE FROM THE CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES WHILE SWINGING A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVE. THE 00Z NAM SOLUTION HAS
COME AROUND TONIGHT AND IS ALSO GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS SOLUTION.
INTERESTINGLY ENOUGH...THIS OVERALL EVENT LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE
NOVEMBER 2002 OUTBREAK.
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...SFC WARM FRONT PROGGED BY BOTH THE GFS AND
NAM TO BE ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER BY 12 TUE. WARM
FRONT WILL QUICKLY LIFT NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHERN
MICHIGAN BY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN THE ENTIRE FCST AREA
BEING IN THE WARM SECTOR DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA BY
AFTERNOON. THOUGH MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE DEPENDENT ON
AVAILABLE PBL FORCING AND THE AMOUNT OF CAPPING. A QUICK LOOK AT
THE BUFKIT DATA FROM THE GFS AND NAM RUNS THIS EVENING SHOW A WEAKLY
CAPPED ATMOSPHERE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SHOULD STRONG FORCING BE
PRESENT AND STORMS GET GOING...THE WOULD QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE WITH
ISOLATED TORNADOES POSSIBLE GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF SHEAR INDICATED THE
FORECAST HODOGRAPHS. MAIN SEVERE WEATHER MODE WILL THEN SHIFT TO A
LINEAR PROGRESSIVE SQUALL LINE ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT LATE TUE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. GIVEN IMPRESSIVE WIND FIELDS...A DAMAGING
WIND EVENT APPEARS LIKELY. ACCORDINGLY...SPC HAS OUTLINED THE
ENTIRE FCST AREA IN A MODERATE RISK FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
-JARVIS
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
The Storm Prediction Center discussion paints a very onimous picture too:
...PORTIONS OF THE LOWER/MIDDLE MS VALLEY...TN AND OH VALLEYS
THROUGH SRN GREAT LAKES...
RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WITH UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS NOW RESIDING
FROM SERN TX THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY WILL ADVECT NWD TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY ALONG STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET. BY EARLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL BE POSSIBLE AS FAR N AS SRN
IL AND SRN IND. THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A FAIRLY LARGE PRE-FRONTAL
WARM SECTOR WITH MLCAPE FROM AROUND 2000 J/KG OVER THE LOWER MS
VALLEY TO AOB 800 J/KG OVER THE OH VALLEY. LOW LEVEL JET WILL
STRENGTHEN TO AOA 60 KT WITHIN EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET AS IT LIFTS
NEWD FROM THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE OH VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES.
THIS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO VERY LARGE HODOGRAPHS...ESPECIALLY FROM NRN
PARTS OF THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO PARTS OF THE TN AND OH VALLEYS.
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES. ACTIVITY MAY BE ONGOING
INITIALLY OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY...THEN SPREADING NEWD DURING THE
DAY. POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR SUPERCELLS AS WELL AS LINES CONTAINING
LEWP/BOW ECHO STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND AND A
FEW TORNADOES. GIVEN THE FAVORABLE KINEMATIC PROFILES AND POTENTIAL
FOR DISCRETE STORMS TO DEVELOP AWAY FROM THE FRONT WITHIN THE WARM
SECTOR...ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
..DIAL..
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
Next...the Possibility Of Severe Weather Tuesday. We Will Spend The
Day In The Warm Sector With Juicy Unstable Air. Time Height Cross
Sections Indicate Partial Sunshine Will Be Possible By Early
Afternoon. As The Sun Comes Out And Stirs Up The Atmosphere Some
Storms May Bubble Up...and Could Become Severe. However...the Main
Show Appears To Be Associated With A Pre-frontal Squall Line That Is
Expected To Sweep Across The Entire Region Ahead Of A Cold Front
Tuesday Evening. The Line Of Powerful Storms Should Begin To Affect
Western Areas Of The Lmk Cwfa Between 4 And 6 Pm Cst...and Exit The
Blue Grass Between Midnight And 2am Est. Wind Will Be The Big Threat
With This Line Of Storms As The Low Level Jet Increases. Winds At
850 Hpa...about 5000 Feet Above Ground...are Progged By Both The
Mesoeta And Gfs To Be In The 60 To 70 Knot Range Tuesday Evening.
Also...isolated Tornadoes Will Be Possible As Well In Both Discrete
Supercells That Form Ahead Of The Squall Line And Also In The Line
Itself...as Mesoeta And Gfs Bring 0-3km Helicity Values To Around
450 M2/s2 With The Line Of Storms.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
...a Severe Weather Outbreak Is Forecast Today And Tonight From The
Oh River Valley Swwd Into The Lower Ms Valley. Severe Thunderstorms
Capable Of Strong To Violent Tornadoes And Widespread Damaging Winds
Will Be Possible Across These Areas...
...great Lakes Into The Lower Ms Valley...
15/00z Regional Soundings Over The Lower Ms Valley And Current
Surface Observations Indicate The Presence Of A Moist Low-level Air
Mass In Place From The Nwrn/cntrl Gulf Coast Nwd Into The Wrn Tn And
Lower Oh Valleys With 60 Dewpoints Now To The Oh River. Persistent
And Strong Swly Llj Of 50-60 Kts From The Lower Ms Valley Into The
Srn Great Lakes Will Aid The Rapid Newd Advection Of This Moisture
Over The Course Of The Day With Lower 60s Dewpoints Forecast As Far
N As Nrn Ind By 16/00z. Despite Modest Mid-level Lapse Rates Of
Around Moist Adiabatic...diabatic Heating Coupled With This Moisture
Will Contribute To The Development Of Weak To Moderate Instability
Across System Warm Sector With Afternoon Mlcapes Ranging From Around
500 J/kg Across The Nrn Oh Valley To 1500-2000 J/kg Over The Lower
Ms Valley.
Strong To Severe Tstms Will Be Ongoing At The Onset Of The Forecast
Period From Ern Ok/sern Ks Ewd Across Ar And Srn Mo. While Many Of
This Storms Will Be Slightly Elevated N Of Surface Warm Front...a
Few Storms Will Likely Be Rooted Within A Moist And Strongly Sheared
Boundary-layer. Indeed...point Forecast Soundings Across Far Ern Ok
And Ar Valid 15/12-15z Indicate A Quite Favorable Environment For
Tornadic Supercells With Effective Bulk Shears Of 50-55 Kts And 0-1
Km Srh Of 300-400 M2/s2.
Thus...expect That The Greatest Severe Weather Threat Through The
Morning Hours Will Exist From Ern Ok Across Ar Into Srn Mo. Farther
To The N And E...storms May Tend To Be Slightly More Elevated With
The Primary Threats Being Isolated Damaging Winds And Large Hail.
An Increase In Storm Coverage/severity Is Anticipated By Late
Morning/early Afternoon From Srn Il Swwd Into Ar As Dynamic Forcing
Associated With Upper Trough And Mid-level Jet Streak Begin To
Overspread The Surface System Warm Sector. Developing Moderate
Instability Coincident With Strong Vertical Shear Indicate The
Likelihood Of Supercells Capable Of Strong And Potentially
Long-track Tornadoes. In Addition To This Enhanced Tornado
Threat...line Segments With Embedded Bowing And Lewp Structures Will
Also Be Possible Along Cold Front With A Distinct Threat Of A Serial
Type Derecho Wind Event Across The Moderate And High Risk Areas.
Overnight...a Strongly Forced Convective Line With Embedded
Supercells Will Rapidly Push Through The Oh And Tn Valleys With A
Continuing Threat Of Tornadoes And Damaging Winds.
..mead/guyer.. 11/15/2005
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
These parts especially stood out to me and let me know how serious this could be tomorrow evening/night. When the NWS/Storm Prediction Center uses this type of wording, things need to be taken VERY seriously:
Severe Thunderstorms
Capable Of Strong To Violent Tornadoes And Widespread Damaging Winds
Will Be Possible Across These Areas...
Developing Moderate
Instability Coincident With Strong Vertical Shear Indicate The
Likelihood Of Supercells Capable Of Strong And Potentially
Long-track Tornadoes. In Addition To This Enhanced Tornado
Threat...line Segments With Embedded Bowing And Lewp Structures Will
Also Be Possible Along Cold Front With A Distinct Threat Of A Serial
Type Derecho Wind Event Across The Moderate And High Risk Areas.
Overnight...a Strongly Forced Convective Line With Embedded
Supercells Will Rapidly Push Through The Oh And Tn Valleys With A
Continuing Threat Of Tornadoes And Damaging Winds.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
Expect a Tornado Watch by 3 PM EST for OH/KY/IN, according to the Storm Prediction Center. It is possible the watch will be a PDS Tornado Watch, which stands for Particularly Dangerous Situation Tornado Watch. The situation is serious.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
Urgent - Immediate Broadcast Requested
Tornado Watch Number 868
Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok
300 Pm Est Tue Nov 15 2005
The Nws Storm Prediction Center Has Issued A
Tornado Watch For Portions Of
Central And Southern Indiana
Central Kentucky
Western Ohio
Effective This Tuesday Afternoon And Evening From 300 Pm Until
1000 Pm Est.
Tornadoes...hail To 1.5 Inches In Diameter...thunderstorm Wind
Gusts To 80 Mph...and Dangerous Lightning Are Possible In These
Areas.
The Tornado Watch Area Is Approximately Along And 85 Statute Miles
East And West Of A Line From 50 Miles North Of Muncie Indiana To
25 Miles South Southeast Of Bowling Green Kentucky. For A
Complete Depiction Of The Watch See The Associated Watch Outline
Update (wous64 Kwns Wou8).
Remember...a Tornado Watch Means Conditions Are Favorable For
Tornadoes And Severe Thunderstorms In And Close To The Watch Area.
Persons In These Areas Should Be On The Lookout For Threatening
Weather Conditions And Listen For Later Statements And Possible
Warnings.
Other Watch Information...continue...ww 864...ww 865...ww 866...ww
867...
Discussion...line Of Tornadic Supercells Over Western Ind And
Western Ky Will Track Eastward Through The Afternoon And Evening
Towards Western Oh. Very Strong Low Level And Deep Layer Shear
Profiles And Sufficient Instability Will Pose A Risk Of Significant
Tornadoes And Damaging Winds Across This Region.
Aviation...tornadoes And A Few Severe Thunderstorms With Hail
Surface And Aloft To 1.5 Inches. Extreme Turbulence And Surface
Wind Gusts To 70 Knots. A Few Cumulonimbi With Maximum Tops To
450. Mean Storm Motion Vector 24045.
...hart
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
Only in Ohio where you can have the potential for Tornadoes and terrible snowstorms all in the same time frame. Variety is the spice of life and Ohio weather sure resembles it.
I hope all remains safe though.
.: My Last.fm
We've gotten lucky in the Cincy/Dayton/Lexington metro areas, as the storms have started to die down(although a few are still severe) as they've moved into the area. We just missed a large number of very serious tornadic storms that hit and caused a lot of damage, injuries and sadly a few deaths off to our west.
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
I'll be at the Bengals/Colts game on Sun. at 4:15 for the biggest game since the '90 playoffs. I'll be in the upper section on the Bengals sideline around the 40-yard line. It is going to be rocking and I'm so excited! Who-Dey!!!
The Simpson family gathers around, as Homer places Bart's passed test on the fridge.)
Homer: We're proud of you, boy.
Bart: Thanks, Dad. But part of this D-minus belongs to God.
That's awesome man. I might be watching the game likely with a bunch of friends who are planning a huge pre-Thanksgiving vacation bash in honor of the Bengals game. Have fun dude.
.: My Last.fm
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